The conference and events sector is faced with an unprecedented crisis as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic. Areal setback for an industry that has recorded steady positive growth for the last five years, with an average increase in event numbers of 4.1% a year.
Conference and events venues have seen most of those already scheduled cancelled: 69.7% of conferences and events have been cancelled, 16.9% deferred until 2021 and only 13.4% postponed to a date later this year. These are the figures emerging from the research study “The impact of Covid-19 on the Italian meetings industry: the outlook for conference and events venues” conducted by the Graduate School of Economics and International Relations of Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore (ASERI) in cooperation with the Italian meetings industry association Federcongressi&eventi. The survey was conducted as part of the Italian Survey of Conferences and Events (Osservatorio Italiano dei Congressi e degli Eventi – OICE), the study that monitors annual trends within the industry.
The survey involved a sample of the main medium-sized to large events venues on the market (hotels, conference centres and trade fair-convention centres) in order to understand the scale of the consequences caused by the spread of the virus.
The sudden and prolonged lockdown has to date led to the cancellation of 69.7% of events of the total at the conference and events facilities that took part in the survey. At the national level, this translates into an estimated loss of approximately 215,000 events, considering that the meetings already planned or those that could potentially be hosted in 2020represent 70% of the annual total.
Specifically, some differences emerged depending on the type of venue (figure 1): in conference hotels, on average 71.2% of events were definitively cancelled, 11.2% postponed and 17.6% deferred to 2021; in conference centres, 63.4% of events were cancelled, 22.9% postponed and the remaining 13.7% deferred to next year; in trade fair-convention venues, 43.5% of events were deferred until 2021, 38.8% completely cancelled and 17.7% postponed until a date later in 2020.
“This situation has led to an expected fall in revenues for conferences and events for 2020 of on average 76% compared with those of 2019.”
Impact on revenues
“This situation has led to an expected fall in revenues for conferences and events for 2020 of on average 76% compared with those of 2019”, explains Roberto Nelli, OICE scientific head and Professor of Communication and Events Marketing at Cattolica. In particular, the research highlights that 21.3% of conference hotels estimate that their revenues have fallen between 51% and 75%,and 68.5% put the drop at over 75%; 28.6% of trade fair-convention venues value the reduction at between 51% and 75%, while 57.1% consider it above 75%; 42.1% of conference centres calculate the fall at between 51% and 75% of revenues, while only 36.8% believe it may be over 75% (figure 2).
Venues’ response: invest to boost safety and competitiveness
The unavoidable cancellation of most events that should have been hosted has however highlighted the sector’s capacity to react and its prompt response to the changes imposed by the current situation. Compared with an average of approximately 60% of venues that were forced to forgo investments they had planned to make in 2020, many venues have not only confirmed (sometimes albeit only partially) the investments planned, but have also made unplanned investments, particularly in infrastructure/services (34.8% of venues that had not planned investments) and technology (17.9%): a decision due to both the need to adjust to regulations to stop the spread of the virus, but also the desire to be competitive on a market that will increasingly require services and technological solutions to support clients in promoting participants’ engagement at events.
Measures to support the sector
To deal with the Covid-19 emergency, almost all venues (90.4%) made use of social support mechanisms to protect their staff (figure 4); among the resources made available by the government, 45.8% of venues made use of the measures introduced by the “Liquidity Decree” (access to favourable credit terms, guarantee funds, etc.) and only 36.1% requested direct compensation for the loss of revenue.
These measures were not uniformly considered to be effective by the venues that drew on them, and some believed they were not sufficient to tackle the scale of the crisis. Regarding social support mechanisms, 43.1% of venues considered the measures to be very or extremely effective, while 20.8% did not give a positive judgement, stating they were not very (18.0%) or not at all (2.8%) effective. The judgement on the measures of the Liquidity Decree was particularly critical: only 14.3% provided a very or extremely positive assessment, while 42.9% said they were not very or not at all satisfied. Finally, with regard to direct compensation for loss of revenue, the judgement was rather mixed, with two opposing fronts: on the one hand, 53.6% of venues said they were very or extremely satisfied, and on the other, 32.1% said they were not very or not at all satisfied.